Part of quant investing is always being on the look out for better metrics and systems that enhance performance. Today I want to look at a simple improvement to the value metric shareholder yield. I’ll look at this in the context of the quant index replication strategy I posted on Read more…
After my last post updating quant system performance I realized I’ve never posted on one of the quant systems, the microcap trending value system. In this post I’ll describe the microcap trending value system, its historical performance, and a tweak from the O’Shaughnessy version of the system which improves performance. Read more…
Now, that equity markets have experienced a nice 10%+ correction this year I thought it would be of value to look at the performance of various quant strategies year to date, especially during a tough year for stocks as 2015 has been. For explanations of the various quant strategies see Read more…
To make finding basic information about the various portfolios I discuss on the blog I’ve created a new Portfolios page. This should especially help out new readers to the blog. The page lists the 3 major type of portfolios on the blog; buy and hold portfolios, tactical asset allocation portfolios, Read more…
One of the biggest challenges in implementing TAA portfolios is coming as close to the theoretical returns as possible. Theoretical returns are based on index returns which are not available in the real world. In this post I’ll explore the major items that keep investors from achieving published theoretical returns Read more…
In today’s post I want to take a quick look at the role of timing in the GTAA AGG portfolios. What impact does timing have on the performance statistics of the AGG3 and AGG6 portfolios versus not using timing at all in the portfolios. The results will surely surprise some. The Read more…
Time for screencast #4. In today’s screencast I cover spending in retirement. I cover the three key aspects of spending in retirement; the level of post retirement spending relative to pre-retirement, the yearly increases to spending, and the impact of maintaining flexibility in spending during retirement. The combination of these three Read more…
Here are the tactical asset allocation updates for June 2015. All portfolio updates are online as part of Paul’s GTAA 13 Portfolio New sheet. First, for the basic portfolios – the GTAA5 and the Permanent Portfolio. Only one change in the GTAA5 portfolio. REITs (VNQ) went to cash this month. GTAA5 is now 60% invested Read more…
Apologies for the light posting of late. I’ve been visiting with family down in south Florida the last 10 days or so enjoying some great catching up time, my niece’s high school graduation, and way to much good Cuban food. Priorities you know! In today’s quick post I want to Read more…
In this post I’ll summarize a recent and very comprehensive study on market timing. It is probably the most comprehensive and robust look at market timing yet. Market timing is one of the biggest potential problems and complaints with TAA portfolios as I highlighted recently. Everyone wants a definitive answer Read more…
Time for screencast #3. In today’s screencast I cover how the 4% rule, or 4% safe withdrawal rate (SWR), changes for different retirement periods. I thought I had covered this topic in an old post but as turns out I had not. It’s an important topic to cover. This is Read more…