The end of the third quarter was down right ugly. The end of Sept timing model sell signals proved out pretty well this month, preserving an investor’s capital. Lets look at the month end results to the timing model. For background on the model see here. The timing model status Read more…
Here is the updated income investor dashboard for September. Prices are as of the market close on Friday September 2nd. August overall had one general theme; stocks bad, bonds good. See the dashboard below. August was one of the worst months on record for stocks. Markets are trading mainly on Read more…
It’s been since May that I updated my table on MLP valuation. With the recent volatility in the market and the month of August coming to an end it is a good time to take a look at MLP valuation. Lets jump right in. As I’ve done before, I updated Read more…
I thought it would be a good time to update the timing model I’ve discussed on the blog before. The model is based on 200-day moving averages and is called the Ivy League Portfolio. See Mebane’s website for more details. I also highly recommend his book on the topic. While Read more…
Today I wanted to update my top 3 contrarian indicators. The market selloff continues and looking at contrarian indicators can give an investor an edge in determining the right time to buy. I introduced these indicators in this post; money flows; investors sentiment, and margin debt. Lets see what they’re Read more…
Its pretty common investment wisdom that a bull market hides a lot of mistakes. Companies of all types, quality, and sizes go up together. Fortunately, this doesn’t last forever. Tough markets tend to separate the wheat from the chaff and expose any weaknesses in business models, cost of capital, etc… Read more…
It’s time again to update mREIT earnings results. All of the mREITs that I track have now announced Q2 2011 earnings with MFA finishing up the announcements this morning. Instead of doing separate posts for each of the 7 mREITs on my list I decided to do a summary post Read more…
Yesterday was sure an interesting day for the mortgage REIT (mREIT) market. Early in the morning trade investors seemed to be fleeing mREITs. At one point the biggest mREIT, NLY, traded down 18% from its opening price then came back to close down about 3% for the day. This was Read more…
My apologies for the lack of posting lately. I’ve had some significant repair issues with the RV and have been spending most of my time at a repair shop and re-routing travel plans for the next 2 months. So, I figured I’d jump in with a post on my favorite Read more…
Earnings season for the MLP sector officially got underway last night with Kinder Morgan reporting Q2 2011 results. The highlight of the release was a distribution increase to $1.15 per unit or $4.60 annualized. KMP currently yields 6.3% on this dividend. From the release: HOUSTON, July 20, 2011 – Kinder Morgan Read more…
Now that the first half of 2011 is over I wanted to step back and look at the performance of the sectors in the income investor dashboard. Lets look at the YTD performance of the dashboard and see if it offers any insights. Below are the 1H 2011 total returns Read more…