The end of the third quarter was down right ugly. The end of Sept timing model sell signals proved out pretty well this month, preserving an investor’s capital. Lets look at the month end results to the timing model. For background on the model see here.
The timing model status as of the end of Sept are:
The new signal this month was a sell signal for commodities, DBC. The only allocation in the model signaling a long position is bonds, IEF. An investor using this model would currently be 80% in cash and waiting for an upward moves to close above the 200 day moving averages.
Full Disclaimer - Nothing on this site should ever be considered advice, research or the invitation to buy or sell securities. These are my personal opinions only.