Tag Archives: economic indicators

Mapping the top economic indicators – mar 2017

In today’s post we’ll update the top 6 economic indicators as of mid March 2017. Each of the 6 indicators is updated with February data. Last month’s update is here. For background on the top 6 see here. The table below shows the current heatmap for the top 6 indicators. Just like last month all of the indicators are green. Here’s a brief update on each. Unemployment rate – Feb was another strong month for employment. UER is back down to 4.7%. Below it’s 12 month SMA. No signs of weakness in this indicator. Real retail sales – Feb’s year … Continue reading

Posted in Economic Indicators, Economy | Tagged , , , , , | 4 Comments

Top 10 reads on the state of the economy

This is the first post on economic indicators. In this post we’ll share our top reads on the state of the US economy. Notice I say we, instead of I. In this new endeavor on tracking the economy I now have a partner. He happens to be my cousin and he is also an electrical engineer and even more of a geek than I am. I’ll talk about him more in the future. Before we dive into our top reads let me describe what we’re trying to do. What we’re trying to do is use economic indicators, individual and/or composite … Continue reading

Posted in Economic Indicators | Tagged , , , | 5 Comments

Update on SPY-UI timing indicators

This post is a brief update of the SPY-UI indicators I reviewed in this post and this one. Refer back to both those posts for details on the two indicators I presented. Turns out we’re in the midst of a real time test of both of these indicators. As a quick reminder the basic SPY-UI indicator attempts to time the market by being risk on when the unemployment rate is below its 12 month simple moving average and by being risk off when the unemployment rate is above it’s 12 month simple moving average. The second, combo indicator, uses basic … Continue reading

Posted in Quant Investing | Tagged , , , | 3 Comments