Here are the tactical asset allocation updates for December 2015. All portfolio updates are online as part of Paul’s GTAA 13 Portfolio New sheet. First, for the basic portfolios – the GTAA5 and the Permanent Portfolio. No changes for GTAA5. For the timing version of the Permanent Portfolio SHY went to cash which is basically no Read more…
October turned out to be quite a strong month for US stocks as the historical seasonality suggested. Lets see what that strong showing did to the tactical asset allocations for November. Here are the tactical asset allocation updates for November 2015. All portfolio updates are online as part of Paul’s GTAA 13 Portfolio Read more…
One of the biggest challenges in implementing TAA portfolios is coming as close to the theoretical returns as possible. Theoretical returns are based on index returns which are not available in the real world. In this post I’ll explore the major items that keep investors from achieving published theoretical returns Read more…
A lot of volatility this month in the equity markets. So far it looks like the portfolio signals to go to cash have been valid. Of course, that’s only half the battle. We’ll see what October brings, a historically positive month for equities. Here are the tactical asset allocation updates for Read more…
Here are the tactical asset allocation updates for August 2015. All portfolio updates are online as part of Paul’s GTAA 13 Portfolio New sheet. First, for the basic portfolios – the GTAA5 and the Permanent Portfolio. There was one change in the GTAA5 portfolio. Bonds (IEF) went back to invested this month. GTAA5 is now 60% invested Read more…
Here are the tactical asset allocation updates for July 2015. All portfolio updates are online as part of Paul’s GTAA 13 Portfolio New sheet. First, for the basic portfolios – the GTAA5 and the Permanent Portfolio. There was one change in the GTAA5 portfolio. Bonds (IEF) went to cash this month. GTAA5 is now 40% invested and Read more…
In today’s post I want to take a quick look at the role of timing in the GTAA AGG portfolios. What impact does timing have on the performance statistics of the AGG3 and AGG6 portfolios versus not using timing at all in the portfolios. The results will surely surprise some. The Read more…
Here are the tactical asset allocation updates for June 2015. All portfolio updates are online as part of Paul’s GTAA 13 Portfolio New sheet. First, for the basic portfolios – the GTAA5 and the Permanent Portfolio. Only one change in the GTAA5 portfolio. REITs (VNQ) went to cash this month. GTAA5 is now 60% invested Read more…
In this post I’ll summarize a recent and very comprehensive study on market timing. It is probably the most comprehensive and robust look at market timing yet. Market timing is one of the biggest potential problems and complaints with TAA portfolios as I highlighted recently. Everyone wants a definitive answer Read more…
There is a lot of interest in Tactical Asset Allocation (TAA) portfolios these days. The big TAA models are the various versions of the IVY portfolios (GTAA5, GTAA13, GTAA AGG3/6) and the Antonacci GEM/GBM portfolios. See here for a recent comparison. There are many others. The promise of higher than Read more…
Here are the tactical asset allocation updates for May 2015. All portfolio updates are online as part of Paul’s GTAA 13 Portfolio New sheet. First, for the basic portfolios – the GTAA5 and the Permanent Portfolio. Only one change in the GTAA5 portfolio. Foreign stocks (VEU) went back to invested this month, after only one Read more…