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Paul

Portfolio

Portfolio sheets are back

Quick note. I have now embedded the Google sheets that contain the GTAA13, AGG3, AGG6, and Antonacci GEM, DMFI portfolios directly on the blog. I have upgraded the Google code a bit and implemented auto sort so they should be a bit more robust than in the past. Let’s hope Read more…

By Paul, 8 yearsJuly 5, 2017 ago
Quant Investing

Quant strategies: 1H 2017 performance update

It’s time to get back to talking about quant portfolios. I haven’t posted on any quant related stuff in a while. Doesn’t mean anything. I’ve just been focused on other things. And my quant portfolios require very little maintenance so once they’re up and running there is not much to Read more…

By Paul, 8 yearsJuly 3, 2017 ago
Economic Indicators

Mapping the pros: composite economic indicators – july 2017

In today’s post I’ll update the composite indicator heat map for July. See this post for an introduction to the composite indicators and the heat map. Below is the composite indicator heat map as of Friday, June 30, 2017. We’ve added in release dates for any indicators that have not been reported yet Read more…

By Paul, 8 years ago
Economic Indicators

Mapping the top economic indicators – june 2017

Before I start today’s post, I’d like to announce my plans for an economic trends newsletter. The newsletter will expand on the topics and concepts of using economic indicators to track the economy and more importantly to improve investing results through their use in quant or TAA investing systems. I’m Read more…

By Paul, 8 years ago
Economic Indicators

Mapping the pros: composite economic indicators – june 2017

In today’s post I’ll update the composite indicator heat map for June. See this post for an introduction to the composite indicators and the heat map. I’ll also introduce a new composite indicator based on the COMP system I introduced here. Below is the composite indicator heat map as of Wednesday, May 31, 2017. The composite Read more…

By Paul, 8 years ago
Economic Indicators

Mapping the top economic indicators – may 2017

In today’s post we’ll update the top 6 economic indicators as of mid May 2017. The final indicator for April was released yesterday. Each of the 6 indicators is updated with April data. For background on the top 6 see here. The table below shows the current heatmap for the top 6 indicators. Read more…

By Paul, 8 years ago
Economic Indicators

Mapping the pros: composite economic indicators – may 2017

In today’s post I’ll update the composite indicator heat map for May. See this post for an introduction to the composite indicators and the heat map. I’ll also introduce a new composite indicator based on the COMP system I introduced here. Below is the composite indicator heat map as of Friday, April 28, 2017. A Read more…

By Paul, 8 years ago
TAA Investing

TAA vs buy and hold in overvalued markets

US stocks are expensive. There seems to be article after article on the expensiveness of US stocks these days. Plus, bonds in general are really really expensive. Both US stocks and all bonds are in the top (90th+ percentile) tiers of expensiveness relative to history. As Cliff Asness of AQR Read more…

By Paul, 8 yearsApril 28, 2017 ago
Economic Indicators

Mapping the top economic indicators – apr 2017

In today’s post we’ll update the top 6 economic indicators as of mid April 2017. The final 2 indicators for March were released this morning. Each of the 6 indicators is updated with March data. For background on the top 6 see here. The table below shows the current heatmap for the top Read more…

By Paul, 8 years ago
TAA Investing

TAA in the real world: theory versus slippage

Today I want to talk about my friend Jose. About a year and half ago, after months of Q & A between us, Jose decided to implement Antonacci’s GEM portfolio in his IRA (see this post for a detailed description). This post describes his first 6 months in GEM, November Read more…

By Paul, 8 years ago
Economic Indicators

SPY-UI model update for April 2017

The unemployment report was released on Friday, April 9 2017. Here is the update for the SPY-UI model. There is so much noise out there on this report that its important to just ignore the noise and focus on the trend. Note: you don’t need fancy paid tools to track Read more…

By Paul, 8 years ago

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