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Paul

TAA Investing

Tactical Asset Allocation Performance In 2017

It’s that time of year to update the performance stats of investment systems. In this post, I’ll cover various Tactical Asset Allocation strategies and how they performed in 2017. Let’s jump right in. As usual, I’m using data from the great folks at Allocate Smartly. 2017 was definitely a risk-on Read more…

By Paul, 7 years ago
General

Happy Holidays and Thank you!

Happy Holidays! Just wanted to drop a quick post with some great links and thoughts for the end of the year. But first I wanted to give a big thank you to all my readers. As I approach my 8th year of writing this blog I have a lot to Read more…

By Paul, 7 years ago
Economic Indicators

Economic Pulse Newsletter Changes and Pricing For 2018

With a month to go in 2017, I have some upcoming enhancements to the Economic Pulse Newsletter that I’d like to announce. If this is the first time you hear about the newsletter you can learn all about it here. There’s even a little screencast I did explaining the concepts Read more…

By Paul, 7 years ago
Quant Investing

Momentum: the most powerful factor

Today I want to talk about momentum. I’m always struck by the hand wringing I see from investors as prices reach new highs. This seems particularly evident over the last year during a great run for stocks. This is odd when you look at the historical evidence for momentum. Momentum Read more…

By Paul, 8 years ago
TAA Investing

TAA: choosing your first strategy

Tactical Asset Allocation (TAA) strategies have come a long way in the last few years. From a small corner of the financial blogosphere to basking in broad daylight. I’d like to think I had a small role to play in that but really it’s the result of the amazing work Read more…

By Paul, 8 yearsOctober 31, 2017 ago
Economic Indicators

Using economic indicators to improve quant performance

In today’s post I’m going to present how using a simple economic indicator can increase returns and lower drawdowns in quant portfolios. I’ve alluded to this in many of my quant posts in the past. Here I present the results of such an approach across a range of quant portfolios. Read more…

By Paul, 8 years ago
Economy

Introducing The Economic Pulse Newsletter

Preface: This post is an introduction to my new newsletter. Actually I did a soft launch about a month ago that you may have seen me mention. I’ve copied the newsletter about page below. It’s taken me a long time to get to this point. About 8 years. It’s been Read more…

By Paul, 8 yearsOctober 9, 2017 ago
Quant Investing

Quant strategies: Q3 2017 YTD performance update

Q3 2017 is now behind us. Time to update some performance numbers. In this post I update the quant portfolio performance stats for through Q3 2017. Below are the 2017 YTD total return (through Sep 30, 2017) and max drawdown numbers for the various quant strategies I track. For explanations Read more…

By Paul, 8 years ago
TAA Investing

TAA vs buy and hold in overvalued markets (CAPE > 30 edition)

Personal note: Sorry for the long delay from posting. I had a death in the family this summer, a big overseas family wedding, and I’ve been working on getting my newsletter released, which I’ll announce in a later post. Now, I’m back. I was thinking this morning that with the Read more…

By Paul, 8 years ago
Quant Investing

Quant investing: getting the big things right

Keep it sweet and simple. That’s the fit-for-publishing version of KISS. And it is critical for being successful in the long term with quant investing. The biggest mistake I see new quant investors make is over complicating things. This just leads to failure. By focusing on a few high impact Read more…

By Paul, 8 years ago
Quant Investing

Quant investing: the profitability factor

What would you think of a quant strategy that only invests in the most profitable companies? Would it under perform the market or beat the market? If you’re an efficient market person you may think that higher profitability must be priced into equities and therefore at best the strategy would Read more…

By Paul, 8 years ago

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