Next up on the performance review for 2021 are the Volatility Curve Models that are part of the Quant Pulse service. For a quick background on these models and hoe they work, start with this post where I first introduced the concepts behind the volatility curve model. Also, here are Read more…
In today’ post, I’ll formally outline a model I’ve alluded to several times in the past, the VOL-COMP model. The model is a combination of the SPY-COMP model (which is the basis for all the models in the Economic Pulse Newsletter) and the VOL Curve Original model with several enhancements. While Read more…
In this post I introduce an enhancement to the original volatility curve model. The enhanced version of the model introduces a mean reversion component to the original model that seeks to take advantage of extreme high volatility situations in order to enhance returns. Let’s dive right in. First, let’s take Read more…
The VOL CURVE model recently closed out it’s latest trade, that was started by the risk-off signal on Feb 24th, 2020. Here I just wanted to update the results of the model including this latest trade. First, let’s just look at the current snapshot of where the model’s year to Read more…
Update: added comparison to SPY-COMP. This post introduces a quant trading model based on volatility. More specifically it uses the prices of volatility futures contracts based on the SP500 to make risk-on and risk-off decisions that can be used to trade various risk-assets. Why Volatility? There is a bunch of Read more…
Compounded annual returns are the crack of the investment world. Wall Street is the pusher and investors are the addicts. Investment companies and investors focus on the annual return metric as the most important in a portfolio to the long term detriment of most investors. This myopic focus on annual Read more…
Warning. This post is kind of a finance geek out. I’ll try and keep it as basic as possible but I apologize in advance if I cause any heads to hit the keyboard… In this post I’ll take a look at impact and potential benefits of adding volatility weighting and Read more…
I’m sure it won’t surprise many value investors that stock correlations are at an all time high. It’s not like value investors need even more challenges thrown in their face. There were two posts late last week that showed data on this rise in correlations. Lets take a look. First, Read more…
MLPs offer attractive tax-deffered yields and total returns. MLPs have handily outperformed the S&P since 1996 and look to continue to do so. With the emergence of unconventional oil and natural gas plays in North America the sector is also in major growth mode. But most investors think that MLPs Read more…