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Paul

Quant Investing

Quant investing: making momentum tolerable

For today’ s post and the next few I’ll be going back to my favorite topic, quant investing. In this post I want to explore pure momentum quant portfolios and in particular ways to make pure momentum investing tolerable and implementable to more investors. Note: for a refresher on momentum and Read more…

By Paul, 8 years ago
Portfolio

Brief survey of expected return forecasts – nothing new

About once a year I go through various future expected return forecasts. Here are some recent updates on what the investment community is saying about future asset class returns, most of them focused on US stock returns, over the next 10 years. In short, nothing really new from last year, Read more…

By Paul, 9 years ago
Portfolio

TAA portfolios: Antonacci’s Composite Dual Momentum

Note: thanks to those who signed up to Allocate Smartly through my link. It’s provided a nice extra revenue stream that is much appreciated. One of the TAA strategies that I have often been asked about is Antonacci’s Composite Dual Momentum (ACDM from now on). I never got around to tracking or Read more…

By Paul, 9 yearsNovember 9, 2016 ago
Quant Investing

Update on SPY-UI timing indicators

This post is a brief update of the SPY-UI indicators I reviewed in this post and this one. Refer back to both those posts for details on the two indicators I presented. Turns out we’re in the midst of a real time test of both of these indicators. As a Read more…

By Paul, 9 years ago
Portfolio

TAA portfolio tracking: turning it over to the pros

I knew this time would come eventually and here it is. Starting this month I will not be publishing any further tracking updates on TAA portfolios. Going forward I will be using and recommending Allocate Smartly for TAA portfolio tracking and implementation. Here’s the why and some details on the Read more…

By Paul, 9 yearsOctober 10, 2016 ago
Quant Investing

Quant strategies: Q3 2016 performance update

Here are the 2016 YTD total return (through the end of Q3) and max drawdown numbers for the various quant strategies I track. For explanations of the various quant strategies see the portfolios page. All equity portfolios consist of 25 stocks and were formed at the end of 2015. No changes in Read more…

By Paul, 9 years ago
TAA Investing

Tactical asset allocation – oct 2016 update

Here is the very quick version of the tactical asset allocation update for Oct. Signals are valid for until the end of the month. Below is the snapshot for the AGG3, AGG6, and GTAA13 portfolios. The source data can be found here. One change for AGG3. VBK replaces VNQ. Two changes for Read more…

By Paul, 9 yearsOctober 2, 2016 ago
TAA Investing

Tactical asset allocation – sept 2016 update

Here is the very quick version of the tactical asset allocation update for Sept. Signals are valid for until the end of the month. Below is the snapshot for the AGG3, AGG6, and GTAA13 portfolios. The source data can be found here. One new change for AGG3. IAU is out and VWO Read more…

By Paul, 9 yearsAugust 31, 2016 ago
Portfolio

Tactical asset allocation – august 2016 update

Here is the tactical asset allocation update for August 2016. Below is the snapshot for the AGG3, AGG6, and GTAA13 portfolios. The source data can be found here. This is a new version of the sheet. Google updates the Sheets program every so often and old version of sheets just stop working. That Read more…

By Paul, 9 yearsJuly 30, 2016 ago
Quant Investing

Quant strategies: 1H 2016 performance

Here are the first half 2016 total return and max drawdown numbers for the various quant strategies I track. For explanations of the various quant strategies see the portfolios page. All equity portfolios consist of 25 stocks and were formed at the end of 2015. No changes in the holdings since that Read more…

By Paul, 9 years ago
TAA Investing

Tactical asset allocation – july 2016 update

Here is the tactical asset allocation update for July 2016. If you didn’t listen to the news all month or didn’t check prices during the month then you would think it was a pretty uneventful month and overall quite a decent month for almost all asset classes. Unfortunately, like most Read more…

By Paul, 9 yearsJune 30, 2016 ago

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