Time for screencast #3. In today’s screencast I cover how the 4% rule, or 4% safe withdrawal rate (SWR), changes for different retirement periods. I thought I had covered this topic in an old post but as turns out I had not. It’s an important topic to cover. This is […]
One of the challenges in dealing with modern portfolios like the Permanent Portfolio, the various IVY portfolios, Risk Parity portfolios, etc is the lack of long term historical data. Most of the modern portfolio data for a broad range of asset classes only goes back to 1973. The period from […]
Today I wanted to talk about the forecasting of future returns and more importantly what implications future returns have for SWRs (Safe Withdrawal Rates). As I showed in my last post, the first 10 year period real return in retirement is the best predictor of SWRs for 30 year retirement […]
Contrary to the overwhelming consensus at the beginning of the year, bonds have done remarkably well year to date. With that in mind I wanted to update the SWRs for the 100% US TIPs retirement portfolio I presented last year. With rates down, SWRs will be down as well but […]
Now that I’ve presented several variations and updates to the IVY portfolios, in this post I update all the relevant portfolio statistics and compare them to some commonly held diversified portfolios. I provide the definitions of the portfolio stats and the various portfolios. I conclude with some brief observations. In […]
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Time for my annual post updating statistics for the various portfolios that I track. This is the last post rounding up 2020 statistics. All portfolio stats were gathered using AllocateSmartly, P123, and various other sites like MSCI. Obviously, there are many more portfolio options out there. This is just a sampling […]
Oops! You need to be a member to access this page. If you’re already signed up login with the form below. Otherwise, to learn more about the Economic Pulse newsletter see here. Or to learn more about the Quant Pulse service see here. Regards, Paul
Oops! You need to be a member to access this page. If you’re already signed up login with the form below. Otherwise, to learn more about the Economic Pulse newsletter see here. Or to learn more about the Quant Pulse service see here. Regards, Paul
Oops! You need to be a member to access this page. If you’re already signed up login with the form below. Otherwise, to learn more about the Economic Pulse newsletter see here. Or to learn more about the Quant Pulse service see here. Regards, Paul