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Tag Archives: volatility
Compounded annual returns are the crack of the investment world. Wall Street is the pusher and investors are the addicts. Investment companies and investors focus on the annual return metric as the most important in a portfolio to the long term detriment of most investors. This myopic focus on annual returns is bad for investors’ wealth wether they are in the wealth building phase or the withdrawal phase of their investment lives. Lets look at how bad and expensive this unhealthy obsession can be. First, lets look at the case of the investor building future wealth. In a world where … Continue reading
Warning. This post is kind of a finance geek out. I’ll try and keep it as basic as possible but I apologize in advance if I cause any heads to hit the keyboard… In this post I’ll take a look at impact and potential benefits of adding volatility weighting and mean-variance optimization to tactical asset allocation portfolios similar to the IVY (GTAA) portfolios I discuss frequently on the blog. Most of the data and theory I present here comes from this great paper on Adaptive Asset Allocation. If you have any interest in applying the concepts here to your portfolio … Continue reading
I’m sure it won’t surprise many value investors that stock correlations are at an all time high. It’s not like value investors need even more challenges thrown in their face. There were two posts late last week that showed data on this rise in correlations. Lets take a look. First, Birinyi Associates had the following chart posted on their blog. The chart shows that the last time correlations were this was during the 1987 stock market crash and the trend is definitely up. Next, there was a post by Felix Salmon of Bloomberg on the same topic. The chart from … Continue reading
MLPs offer attractive tax-deffered yields and total returns. MLPs have handily outperformed the S&P since 1996 and look to continue to do so. With the emergence of unconventional oil and natural gas plays in North America the sector is also in major growth mode. But most investors think that MLPs are higher risk – after all we’ve all been brainwashed into thinking that higher returns must come with higher risk. Turns out that nothing could be further from the truth. There is a ton of academic research that has disproved the higher risk equal higher return mantra. Today I want … Continue reading