Portfolio sheets are back

Quick note. I have now embedded the Google sheets that contain the GTAA13, AGG3, AGG6, and Antonacci GEM, DMFI portfolios directly on the blog. I have upgraded the Google code a bit and implemented auto sort so they should be a bit more robust than in the past. Let’s hope Google cooporates. These are informational only. I don’t do any…

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Comparing portfolio performance (1973 to 2016)

Note: All the data tables have been updated to include the TAA bond strategy. Thanks to AllocateSmartly, P123, and Stockcharts.com, I was able to gather 2016 performance data much sooner than last year. This post updates the portfolio statistics, through 2016, for all the various portfolios I track that I have data for going back to 1973. It is not…

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What’s new for 2017

A quick post on some changes to the blog. Overall, the blog will be still mainly be focused on quantitative investing. I will also continue to write about investing in retirement which has it’s own challenges. Now for the changes. The biggest change to the blog is that you’ll start to see more posts about the economy and economic indicators. This…

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TAA strategy performance over time

In this post I’m going to take a look at performance as a whole of a group of TAA strategies and how that performance has varied over time. I’ll then compare it to the classic 60 40 US stock US bond portfolio and a more globally diversified and modern portfolio, the All Weather Portfolio. There’s some interesting things to note in the…

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Building a portfolio from individual quant strategies

In this post I want to briefly return to putting together quantitative strategies into a an overall portfolio. I wrote about this in 2014 but I have better tools and more data now. Basically let’s build a portfolio of quant strategies that reflects a typical 60/40 US stock US bond benchmark and compare portfolio statistics to the SP500 and to…

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Brief survey of expected return forecasts – nothing new

About once a year I go through various future expected return forecasts. Here are some recent updates on what the investment community is saying about future asset class returns, most of them focused on US stock returns, over the next 10 years. In short, nothing really new from last year, expect future returns to be lower, but worth a review…

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TAA portfolios: Antonacci’s Composite Dual Momentum

Note: thanks to those who signed up to Allocate Smartly through my link. It’s provided a nice extra revenue stream that is much appreciated. One of the TAA strategies that I have often been asked about is Antonacci’s Composite Dual Momentum (ACDM from now on). I never got around to tracking or writing about it but now the the folks at Allocate…

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TAA portfolio tracking: turning it over to the pros

I knew this time would come eventually and here it is. Starting this month I will not be publishing any further tracking updates on TAA portfolios. Going forward I will be using and recommending Allocate Smartly for TAA portfolio tracking and implementation. Here’s the why and some details on the platform. The number of portfolios I was tracking and wanted…

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Tactical asset allocation – august 2016 update

Here is the tactical asset allocation update for August 2016. Below is the snapshot for the AGG3, AGG6, and GTAA13 portfolios. The source data can be found here. This is a new version of the sheet. Google updates the Sheets program every so often and old version of sheets just stop working. That happened this month so I had to do a new…

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The future of beta – slip sliding away…

Value, momentum, size, quality, volatility, etc as factors in investing are quite popular. They’ve produced significant outsized returns relative to benchmarks. Now, we even have Smart Beta funds and ETFs popping up all over to make taking advantage of factors super easy. That brings up the critical question every investor interested in taking advantage of factors in their portfolio should…

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