What is the appropriate benchmark for a TAA portfolio? This is a subtle but I think often overlooked aspect when measuring the performance of a TAA strategy or portfolio. The classic choice, just like in buy and hold, is the 60/40 US stock, US bond portfolio. The are other choices Read more
After my last post on using trend following in Crypto markets I thought I’d continue on that thread and look at applying trend following on a newish concept (similar concepts have existed at the institutional level for a long time) in creating diversified portfolios, called return stacking. First, what is Read more
It has been a while since I’ve updated the blog. These days I spend most of my time writing for subscribers of my newsletter but I’d like to get back to writing publicly again. So, to launch myself back into public blogging I thought I would write about Crypto and Read more
Happy New Year to everyone! A quick post to present the performance results of the TAA strategies that are part of the Economic Pulse and Quant Pulse Newsletters. I’ll also discuss how the performance compares to other TAA strategies. Overall, it was a good year for my strategies and I’m quite pleased Read more
Time for my annual post updating statistics for the various portfolios that I track. This is the last post rounding up 2020 statistics. All portfolio stats were gathered using AllocateSmartly, P123, and various other sites like MSCI. Obviously, there are many more portfolio options out there. This is just a sampling Read more
A quick post to present the performance results of the TAA strategies that are part of the Economic Pulse and Quant Pulse Newsletters. I’ll also discuss how the performance compares to other TAA strategies. Let’s dive in. First, let’s look at the TAA strategies that are part of the Economic Read more
This post is a follow up to my last post on the pain factor in TAA strategies. In that post I compared the various TAA strategies by three common pain points that I hear from investors; taxes, number of trades, and turnover. In this post I want to incorporate the Read more
TAA strategies look amazing on paper. After all, what is not to like about higher absolute and higher risk-adjusted returns over a buy and hold portfolio? But in the real world when implementing TAA strategies there are a few common barriers that limit and make difficult their implementation for many Read more
In today’ post, I’ll formally outline a model I’ve alluded to several times in the past, the VOL-COMP model. The model is a combination of the SPY-COMP model (which is the basis for all the models in the Economic Pulse Newsletter) and the VOL Curve Original model with several enhancements. While Read more
A quick post today to let you know that my base strategy from the Economic Pulse Newsletter has been tested by AllocateSmartly and is now available on the platform. I wanted to put my base TAA model to the test on an apples to apples basis against the best TAA Read more
In today’s post I want to take a look at an alternative measure of risk in portfolios, the Ulcer Performance Index, and use it to rank the various TAA and buy and hold strategies. First, let’s talk about the Ulcer Performance Index (UPI). The Ulcer Performance Index (UPI) is similar Read more